Brand Logo Moneyfacts Group plc
Telephone Icon T: 01603 476476 Email Icon E: enquiries@moneyfacts.co.uk LinkedIn Icon

Cooling inflation offers savers a chance at real returns

Image of Moneyfacts.co.uk Brand Logo Image of Moneyfacts.co.uk Brand Logo Image of Moneyfacts.co.uk Brand Logo
Caitlyn Eastell, Apprentice Press & PR Assistant
Caitlyn Eastell, Personal Finance Analyst 01603 476169 Email Caitlyn
18/02/2026

Cooling inflation offers savers a chance at real returns

Easing inflation is set to impact savers and borrowers differently, but overall it offers positive news for households, Moneyfactscompare.co.uk analysis can reveal.

Cooling inflation offers savers a chance at real returns

Easing inflation is set to impact savers and borrowers differently, but overall it offers positive news for households, Moneyfactscompare.co.uk analysis can reveal.

Mortgages

  • Since the previous inflation announcement, the Moneyfacts Average Mortgage rate has risen from 4.83% to 4.91%.
  • Meanwhile, the average two-year fixed rate has risen from 4.77% to 4.85%. The average five-year fixed rate has risen from 4.87% to 4.97%.
  • Cooling inflation could boost the likelihood of a base rate cut, which would be welcome news for borrowers as it may give them a much-needed confidence boost.
  • Research from the Building Societies Association shows that many aspiring first-time buyers are closer to homeownership than they realise thanks to innovative solutions provided by building societies such as Skipton Building Society’s Track Record Mortgage and Nationwide Building Society’s Helping Hand initiative.

 

Caitlyn Eastell, Spokesperson at Moneyfactscompare.co.uk, said:

“In recent weeks, swap rates have been reacting to volatile market conditions, effectively halting lenders’ rate-cutting momentum and prompting many to reassess their margins and adjusting their pricing by increasing rates, which led to a small uptick in average rates. More recently, swap rates have hit 30-day lows following the latest unemployment stats which means we may see lenders beginning to make rate cuts in the next few weeks. Pair this with cooling inflation and the Bank of England could move towards a base rate cut. This would be welcome news for borrowers, as it could encourage lenders to reduce interest rates on their borrowing, which could give borrowers a much-needed confidence boost. Supporting this optimism, recent research from the Building Societies Association (BSA) reveals that many aspiring first-time buyers are closer to homeownership than they realise, despite ongoing challenges with affordability and saving for a deposit. Building societies continue to create innovative solutions, such as Skipton Building Society’s Track Record Mortgage, a 100% mortgage that allows renters to use their payment history to secure a mortgage, and Nationwide Building Society’s Helping Hand initiative, which enables first-time buyers to borrow up to six times their income, significantly increasing their buying power.”

 

Mortgages

  • Since the previous inflation announcement, the Moneyfacts Average Mortgage rate has risen from 4.83% to 4.91%.
  • Meanwhile, the average two-year fixed rate has risen from 4.77% to 4.85%. The average five-year fixed rate has risen from 4.87% to 4.97%.
  • Cooling inflation could boost the likelihood of a base rate cut, which would be welcome news for borrowers as it may give them a much-needed confidence boost.
  • Research from the Building Societies Association shows that many aspiring first-time buyers are closer to homeownership than they realise thanks to innovative solutions provided by building societies such as Skipton Building Society’s Track Record Mortgage and Nationwide Building Society’s Helping Hand initiative.

 

Caitlyn Eastell, Spokesperson at Moneyfactscompare.co.uk, said:

“In recent weeks, swap rates have been reacting to volatile market conditions, effectively halting lenders’ rate-cutting momentum and prompting many to reassess their margins and adjusting their pricing by increasing rates, which led to a small uptick in average rates. More recently, swap rates have hit 30-day lows following the latest unemployment stats which means we may see lenders beginning to make rate cuts in the next few weeks. Pair this with cooling inflation and the Bank of England could move towards a base rate cut. This would be welcome news for borrowers, as it could encourage lenders to reduce interest rates on their borrowing, which could give borrowers a much-needed confidence boost. Supporting this optimism, recent research from the Building Societies Association (BSA) reveals that many aspiring first-time buyers are closer to homeownership than they realise, despite ongoing challenges with affordability and saving for a deposit. Building societies continue to create innovative solutions, such as Skipton Building Society’s Track Record Mortgage, a 100% mortgage that allows renters to use their payment history to secure a mortgage, and Nationwide Building Society’s Helping Hand initiative, which enables first-time buyers to borrow up to six times their income, significantly increasing their buying power.”

 

Savings

  • The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 3.0% during January, from 3.4% in December. The Bank of England’s projection rate for inflation during Q1 2027 is 1.7%.
  • The Moneyfacts Average Savings Rate currently sits at 3.31%, which is higher than inflation, so savers can get real returns on their cash but it’s still important to shop around for the best rates.
  • There are currently 1,607 savings accounts that beat inflation* (157 easy access, 147 notice accounts, 133 variable rate ISAs, 382 fixed rate ISAs and 788 fixed rate bonds).
  • In February 2025, there were 1,516 deals that could beat CPI which was then at 3.0% (January 2025 CPI) and in February 2024, there were 953 deals that could beat CPI which was at 4.0% (January 2024 CPI).
  • Between February 2021 and February 2026, the Moneyfacts Average Savings Rate averaged around 2.66%, meanwhile inflation averaged 4.71%. This means that savers are £1,184 worse off in ‘real’ terms on average based on a savings pot of £10,000 over five years.

 

Caitlyn Eastell, Spokesperson at Moneyfactscompare.co.uk, said:

“Savers have lost almost £1,200 on average in real terms over the past five years, despite savings rates hitting post-2008 highs, as inflation surged to over 40-year peaks and ate away at the value of cash savings. While the top non-ISA savings accounts currently boast higher headline rates, the tax-free interest offered by cash ISAs could leave many savers even better off in real terms, particularly those at risk of breaching their Personal Savings Allowance. However, with inflation set to cool, savers could soon choose from a larger pool of products that offer inflation-busting returns even with potential base rate cuts looming because inflation is falling faster than savings rates.

“Unsurprisingly, the deals that have suffered the biggest blows over the past month are those with shorter fixed terms or variable rates, suggesting that the window to secure competitive rates is closing as providers could already be pricing in future rate cuts. The top long-term ISAs and non-ISAs currently offer around 4.50%, therefore they may become an increasingly attractive option in the fading rate environment, as they guarantee set returns and can help with future planning. However, these deals may not be for everyone, and savers should carefully balance the appeal of certainty against their need for access.”

Savings

  • The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 3.0% during January, from 3.4% in December. The Bank of England’s projection rate for inflation during Q1 2027 is 1.7%.
  • The Moneyfacts Average Savings Rate currently sits at 3.31%, which is higher than inflation, so savers can get real returns on their cash but it’s still important to shop around for the best rates.
  • There are currently 1,607 savings accounts that beat inflation* (157 easy access, 147 notice accounts, 133 variable rate ISAs, 382 fixed rate ISAs and 788 fixed rate bonds).
  • In February 2025, there were 1,516 deals that could beat CPI which was then at 3.0% (January 2025 CPI) and in February 2024, there were 953 deals that could beat CPI which was at 4.0% (January 2024 CPI).
  • Between February 2021 and February 2026, the Moneyfacts Average Savings Rate averaged around 2.66%, meanwhile inflation averaged 4.71%. This means that savers are £1,184 worse off in ‘real’ terms on average based on a savings pot of £10,000 over five years.

 

Caitlyn Eastell, Spokesperson at Moneyfactscompare.co.uk, said:

“Savers have lost almost £1,200 on average in real terms over the past five years, despite savings rates hitting post-2008 highs, as inflation surged to over 40-year peaks and ate away at the value of cash savings. While the top non-ISA savings accounts currently boast higher headline rates, the tax-free interest offered by cash ISAs could leave many savers even better off in real terms, particularly those at risk of breaching their Personal Savings Allowance. However, with inflation set to cool, savers could soon choose from a larger pool of products that offer inflation-busting returns even with potential base rate cuts looming because inflation is falling faster than savings rates.

“Unsurprisingly, the deals that have suffered the biggest blows over the past month are those with shorter fixed terms or variable rates, suggesting that the window to secure competitive rates is closing as providers could already be pricing in future rate cuts. The top long-term ISAs and non-ISAs currently offer around 4.50%, therefore they may become an increasingly attractive option in the fading rate environment, as they guarantee set returns and can help with future planning. However, these deals may not be for everyone, and savers should carefully balance the appeal of certainty against their need for access.”

 

Savings market analysis

Top savings deals at £10,000 gross

14-Feb-24

19-Feb-25

21-Jan-26

Today

Easy access account

Ulster Bank – 5.20%

Principality BS – 4.70%

Chase – 4.41% (includes bonus)

Tembo Money – 4.51% (includes bonus)

Notice account

Vanquis Bank – 5.40% (90-day)

Vida Savings – 4.85% (95-day)

The Stafford BS – 4.61% (180-Day)

GB Bank – 4.33% (120-Day)

One-year fixed rate bond

SmartSave – 5.21%

ICICI Bank – 4.65%

Marcus by Goldman Sachs® – 4.55% (payable on maturity)

Rova – 4.25% (payable on maturity)

Two-year fixed rate bond

iFAST Global Bank – 5.10%

Secure Trust Bank – 4.61%

LHV Bank – 4.24% (payable on maturity)

LHV Bank – 4.24% (payable on maturity)

Three-year fixed rate bond

UBL UK – 4.72% (payable on maturity)

Secure Trust Bank– 4.63%

UBL UK – 4.32% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.32% (payable on maturity)

Four-year fixed rate bond

UBL UK – 4.54% (payable on maturity)

Oxbury Bank – 4.54%

UBL UK – 4.31% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.31% (payable on maturity)

Five-year fixed rate bond

UBL UK – 4.77% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.64% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.52% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.52% (payable on maturity)

Inflation announcement dates. Top rates exclude deals with restrictive criteria. Notice accounts exclude those over 180 days.

Source: Moneyfactscompare.co.uk

 

ISA market analysis

Top savings deals at £10,000 gross

14-Feb-24

19-Feb-25

21-Jan-26

Today

Easy access ISA

Moneybox – 5.09% (includes bonus)

Moneybox – 5.00% (includes bonus)

Plum – 4.28% (includes bonus)

Plum – 4.26%

(includes bonus)

Notice ISA

West Brom Building Society – 5.06% (60-day)

Tipton & Coseley – 4.65% (60-day)

Tipton & Coseley BS 4.10% - (60 Day)

Tipton & Coseley BS 3.80% - (60 Day)

One-year fixed rate ISA

Virgin Money – 5.25%

Secure trust Bank – 4.45%

Shawbrook Bank – 4.14% (payable on maturity)

Castle Trust Bank – 4.15%

Two-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.72% (payable on maturity)

Hodge Bank – 4.41%

UBL UK – 4.13% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.13% (payable on maturity)

Three-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.54% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.61% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.16% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.16% (payable on maturity)

Four-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.30% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.30% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.15% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.15% (payable on maturity)

Five-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.52% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.60% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.49% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.49% (payable on maturity)

 Inflation announcement dates. Top rates exclude deals with restrictive criteria. Notice ISAs exclude those over 180 days.

Source: Moneyfactscompare.co.uk

 

Data note: Please note that these savings product numbers include deals that are available to UK residents (easy access accounts, notice accounts, fixed rate bonds, variable Cash ISAs and fixed Cash ISAs) and exclude regular savers, children’s savers, variable rate fixed term bonds or ISAs, JISAs and LISAs, based on a £10,000 deposit, gross rates. Higher rates may be available for other levels of deposit.

 

Savings market analysis

Top savings deals at £10,000 gross

14-Feb-24

19-Feb-25

21-Jan-26

Today

Easy access account

Ulster Bank – 5.20%

Principality BS – 4.70%

Chase – 4.41% (includes bonus)

Tembo Money – 4.51% (includes bonus)

Notice account

Vanquis Bank – 5.40% (90-day)

Vida Savings – 4.85% (95-day)

The Stafford BS – 4.61% (180-Day)

GB Bank – 4.33% (120-Day)

One-year fixed rate bond

SmartSave – 5.21%

ICICI Bank – 4.65%

Marcus by Goldman Sachs® – 4.55% (payable on maturity)

Rova – 4.25% (payable on maturity)

Two-year fixed rate bond

iFAST Global Bank – 5.10%

Secure Trust Bank – 4.61%

LHV Bank – 4.24% (payable on maturity)

LHV Bank – 4.24% (payable on maturity)

Three-year fixed rate bond

UBL UK – 4.72% (payable on maturity)

Secure Trust Bank– 4.63%

UBL UK – 4.32% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.32% (payable on maturity)

Four-year fixed rate bond

UBL UK – 4.54% (payable on maturity)

Oxbury Bank – 4.54%

UBL UK – 4.31% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.31% (payable on maturity)

Five-year fixed rate bond

UBL UK – 4.77% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.64% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.52% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.52% (payable on maturity)

Inflation announcement dates. Top rates exclude deals with restrictive criteria. Notice accounts exclude those over 180 days.

Source: Moneyfactscompare.co.uk

 

ISA market analysis

Top savings deals at £10,000 gross

14-Feb-24

19-Feb-25

21-Jan-26

Today

Easy access ISA

Moneybox – 5.09% (includes bonus)

Moneybox – 5.00% (includes bonus)

Plum – 4.28% (includes bonus)

Plum – 4.26%

(includes bonus)

Notice ISA

West Brom Building Society – 5.06% (60-day)

Tipton & Coseley – 4.65% (60-day)

Tipton & Coseley BS 4.10% - (60 Day)

Tipton & Coseley BS 3.80% - (60 Day)

One-year fixed rate ISA

Virgin Money – 5.25%

Secure trust Bank – 4.45%

Shawbrook Bank – 4.14% (payable on maturity)

Castle Trust Bank – 4.15%

Two-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.72% (payable on maturity)

Hodge Bank – 4.41%

UBL UK – 4.13% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.13% (payable on maturity)

Three-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.54% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.61% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.16% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.16% (payable on maturity)

Four-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.30% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.30% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.15% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.15% (payable on maturity)

Five-year fixed rate ISA

UBL UK – 4.52% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.60% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.49% (payable on maturity)

UBL UK – 4.49% (payable on maturity)

 Inflation announcement dates. Top rates exclude deals with restrictive criteria. Notice ISAs exclude those over 180 days.

Source: Moneyfactscompare.co.uk

 

Data note: Please note that these savings product numbers include deals that are available to UK residents (easy access accounts, notice accounts, fixed rate bonds, variable Cash ISAs and fixed Cash ISAs) and exclude regular savers, children’s savers, variable rate fixed term bonds or ISAs, JISAs and LISAs, based on a £10,000 deposit, gross rates. Higher rates may be available for other levels of deposit.

Notes to editors

You are welcome to use part or all of this press release, so long as we are sufficiently sourced. We would appreciate a link back to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk.

Pioneering financial comparison technology for over 35 years, Moneyfacts Group plc is the UK’s leading provider of retail financial product data. Used by virtually every bank and building society in the UK, and supplied to the Bank of England, Financial Conduct Authority, Financial Ombudsman Service, HM Treasury, Prudential Regulatory Authority and UK Finance.

Our expert research team monitors the thousands of mortgages, savings, credit card, personal loan, banking, life, pension and investment products in the UK.

Moneyfactscompare.co.uk is the financial product price comparison site, launched as Moneyfacts.co.uk in 2000 and rebranded to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk in 2023, which helps consumers compare thousands of financial products, including credit cards, savings, mortgages and many more. Unlike other comparison sites, Moneyfactscompare.co.uk shows whole of market data regardless of commercial bias, showing consumers a true picture of the best products based on the criteria they select.

For more information about us please see our key facts.

Broadcast

Our broadcast suite enables our finance experts to appear in-vision for television, and we regularly comment live on national and regional radio.

To arrange an interview for radio or television, please contact our press department. We have an in-house broadcast room.

 

Notes to editors

You are welcome to use part or all of this press release, so long as we are sufficiently sourced. We would appreciate a link back to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk.

Pioneering financial comparison technology for over 35 years, Moneyfacts Group plc is the UK’s leading provider of retail financial product data. Used by virtually every bank and building society in the UK, and supplied to the Bank of England, Financial Conduct Authority, Financial Ombudsman Service, HM Treasury, Prudential Regulatory Authority and UK Finance.

Our expert research team monitors the thousands of mortgages, savings, credit card, personal loan, banking, life, pension and investment products in the UK.

Moneyfactscompare.co.uk is the financial product price comparison site, launched as Moneyfacts.co.uk in 2000 and rebranded to Moneyfactscompare.co.uk in 2023, which helps consumers compare thousands of financial products, including credit cards, savings, mortgages and many more. Unlike other comparison sites, Moneyfactscompare.co.uk shows whole of market data regardless of commercial bias, showing consumers a true picture of the best products based on the criteria they select.

For more information about us please see our key facts.

Broadcast

Our broadcast suite enables our finance experts to appear in-vision for television, and we regularly comment live on national and regional radio.

To arrange an interview for radio or television, please contact our press department. We have an in-house broadcast room.

 

Contact Us If you're looking for extra comment, a chart or more information, then please give us a call. We are always more than happy to help.
Adam French Head of Consumer Finance
Rachel Springall Finance Expert
Caitlyn Eastell Personal Finance Analyst